Please join us in welcoming Seth Guikema, professor from the University of Michigan. He will be discussing communities’ resilience to natural hazards.
4290 Fitts-Woolard Hall
Resilience As Equitable Access to Essential Services: Leverage Location-Based Services and AI to Understand and Predict Household-Level Recovery
Community resilience to natural hazards has often been conceptualized as either adaptive capacity of communities or as recovery of infrastructure services, Adaptive capacity is approximated through indices that lack temporal and spatial detail and do not consider the performance of the build environment. Typical infrastructure resilience measures focus only on critical infrastructure such as water, power, and communications systems. These approaches lack spatial detail and do not consider broader impacts and recovery in the community. More recently, my group has reconceptualized resilience as equitable access to essential services at the household level. This talk summarizes recent advances leveraging AI and location-based services to estimate time-varying access to essential services at the household level. It then shows that essential service access is more predictive of household-level recovery than social vulnerability index measures. It closes a discussion of broader issues in estimating community resilience at a fine temporal and spatial scale.
Seth Guikema is a Professor in the departments of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Industrial & Operations Engineering t the University of Michigan as well as the founding Co-Director of the Center for Risk Analysis Informed Decision Engineering at the University of Michigan. He is a Professor II in the Department of Safety, Economics, and Planning at the University of Stavanger in Norway. He is Past-President and Fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis and currently serves as the Area Editor for the Natural Hazards area in the journal Risk Analysis as well as on the editorial board of several other journals.